{"id":67724,"date":"2021-10-25T08:00:06","date_gmt":"2021-10-25T06:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gyrocarpus.com\/?p=67724"},"modified":"2022-12-21T13:52:02","modified_gmt":"2022-12-21T12:52:02","slug":"imf%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%b4%ec%b6%95-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ed%95%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gyrocarpus.com\/archives\/67724","title":{"rendered":"IMF\uc758 \uacbd\uace0, \ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc815\ucc45 \uc704\ud5d8\ud574 \u2013 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud22c\uc790"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\uc9c0\ub09c 10\uc6d4 13\uc77c \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF)\uc758 \uc218\uc11d \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790 \uae30\ud0c0 \uace0\ud53c\ub098\ud2b8(Gita Gopinath)\ub294  \uc5b8\ub860\uc0ac \ud55c\ub378\uc2a4\ube14\ub77c\ud2b8(Handelsblatt)\uc640\uc758 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc7ac\uace0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad6d\uac00 \ubd80\ucc44\ub97c \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \ucd1d\ub825\uc744 \uae30\uc6b8\uc774\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c\uc744 \ud5a5\ud55c \uacbd\uace0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 \uc62c\ud574 \uae30\ub300 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 3.1%\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd80\ucc44 \uccad\uc0b0\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00 \uad00\uacc4\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\uae30\uc5d0 \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08\uc758 \uacbd\uace0\ub97c \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc744\uae4c\uc694? \ub610\ud55c, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub3c5\uc77c \uacbd\uc81c \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uac8c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud574\uacb0 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uac83\uc774 \uc788\uc744\uae4c\uc694?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bartolomiej Pietrzyk\/shutterstock.com<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\ubd80\ucc44 <\/strong>\uc5c6\ub294 <\/strong>\uad6d\uac00 <\/strong>\uc7ac\uc815, <\/strong>\uc288\ubc14\ub974\uce20 <\/strong>\ub20c(Schwarze Null)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub3c5\uc77c\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 2009\ub144 \uc774\ubbf8 \uad6d\uac00 \uc7ac\uc815\uc758 \uade0\ud615\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ucd08\uc11d\uc744 \ub9c8\ub828\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd80\ucc44 \uc5c6\ub294 \uad6d\uac00 \uc7ac\uc815\uc744 \ub2ec\uc131\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \uc288\ubc14\ub974\uce20 \ub20c(Schwarze Null)\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc774\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc7ac\ubb34 \uacc4\ud68d\uc740 2020\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc9dc\uc5ec \uc788\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 2015\ub144 \ucd5c\ucd08\ub85c \ubd80\ucc44 \uc5c6\ub294 \ud55c \ud574\ub97c \ub2ec\uc131\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ubbf8\ub798 \uc138\ub300\uac00 \ucc45\uc784\uc9c8 \uad6d\uac00 \ubd80\ucc44\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ub0b4\uc5d0 \ubd80\ucc44\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\ub294 \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\uac00\uba70, \ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 \ud589\ubcf4\ub294 \ubaa8\ubc94\uc801\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\uac00\ub97c \ubc1b\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc0ac\ud68c \uc804\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4\uba74, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6d\uac00 \uc608\uc0b0\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc544\ub2cc \ud604\uc0c1 \uc720\uc9c0\ub9cc \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf8\ub2e4\uba74 \ud1f4\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uae38\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc608\uc0b0\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 19\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub514\uc9c0\ud138\ud654\ub77c\ub294 \uc0ac\ud68c \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad6d\uac00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ub300\uc801\uc778 \ud22c\uc790\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0 \ub300\ucd9c\uc744 \uaebc\ub9ac\uace0, \uc6c0\uce20\ub7ec\ub4dc\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\uc744 \ub54c, \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub3c5\uc77c, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ud3c9\uade0\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc608\uc0c1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ucd9c\ucc98: Statistisches Bundesamt<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n
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IMF\ub294 \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \uc720\ub7fd \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud558\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 19\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 5% \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ucef8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\ub294 \uc544\uc77c\ub79c\ub4dc\ub85c 13%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ub3c5\uc77c\uacfc \ud540\ub780\ub4dc\ub294 \uac01\uac01 3.1%, 3%\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 \uad6d\uac00 \ubd80\ucc44\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \ub178\ub825\uc5d0 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 19 \uc0ac\ud0dc\uac00 \ub354\ud574\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2021\ub144 \ud55c \ud574\uc5d0\ub9cc 2.9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 1995\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 2.6%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\ubcf8 \uc801\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \ub3c5\uc77c\uc5d4 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\ud568\uaed8 \uc77d\uc73c\uba74 \uc88b\uc740 \ub274\uc2a4<\/span><\/h3>\n \n <\/div>\n
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\"\uc5ed\ub300<\/div><\/a>\n <\/div>\n
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\n \uc5ed\ub300 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub610 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00<\/a>\n <\/h3>\n